2010 has been a difficult year for the world economy with growth stifled in the developed world and deficits to be tackled. The Emerging world on the other hand has demonstrated the intrinsic strength and is proving that the engine of the Global economy has categorically shifted to the East.
Over the last year, millions have joined the middle class in Africa, Asia and the Caribbean and are entering the global economy as consumers, this will continue. In Africa alone, 200m people will enter the market for consumer goods over the next five years. 2010 has been a year of surprisingly good global growth of around 4%, with emerging markers displaying rates of between 6-7% and the developed world 2-3%. This will be the pattern for years to come as the emerging nations drive the global economy forward.
Much has been written about Asia's role in the world (especially given China's emergence as the second largest economy in the world earlier this year) but the story that gets less recognition is Africa's growth story, 5% this year and predicted to be around 5.5% next year. In 2010 Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, Managing Director of The World Bank said that Africa could be the next BRIC, and become a major recipient of investment rather than aid. At the same time McKinsey told companies, that 'global businesses cannot afford to ignore the potential' of Africa.
Africa's growth is creating massive new business opportunities, it is predicted that Africa's 4 leading industries, retail services, agriculture, resources, and infrastructure could generate as much as $2.6 trillion in revenue annually by 2020. And Africa is gaining greater access to foreign investment, total FDI into Africa rose from $9 billion in 2000 to $62 billion in 2008, and today the rate of return on foreign investment in Africa is higher than in any other developing region.
In 2011 CBC will continue its engagement with all the Commonwealth nations, we will hold investment and business promotion events in Africa, the Caribbean, Asia and the UK. And in October 2011 we will host the 8th Commonwealth Business Forum in Australia. CBF 2011 will be a major event for Large and small companies with about 1000 business leaders attending.It will also help us to reach pacific small states that we have had difficulty engaging with before. 2011 should be an exciting year!
Showing posts with label 2010. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2010. Show all posts
Monday, 27 December 2010
Wednesday, 6 January 2010
What will 2010 bring?
Contrary to all expectations at the beginning of the year 2009 ended with a majority of the developing nations in surprisingly strong economic positions. Most of the largest developing nation stock markets have recouped all the losses made in 2008, and countries such as China and India have avoided recession all together, only experiencing reduced growth. 2010 will have a much greater emphasis on the G20 and the BRICs countries than we have ever seen.
Recovery in the developed nations will now depend much more on how the consumer acts in India, China and other emerging markets. Demand for imports of high value manufactured goods from the BRIC countries can help drive forward recovery in western countries. There is evidence that Germany, France and Spain are enhancing manufacturing capacity to match the increasing demand from India and other countries, I hope the UK will follow suit.
Energy is going to be an important sector in 2010 as we move more towards clean technologies it will create new manufacturing opportunities in both the developing and developed world. Infrastructure represents a similar opportunity, the high demand in India and Africa will create opportunities for specialised companies in the western world. Africa will be the focus of a push for increased global agricultural production.
As Developing countries return to stronger growth they will help push the whole of the global economy out of recession. Consequently, how the developing world manages its economies will have a much greater impact on the western countries than ever before.
2009 was not the end of globalisation as some predicted, rather, we have seen just how linked the world economies have become. Globalisation will now be driven more by the BRIC countries, the G20 and the developing world than before, so it is in all our best interests to see the Developing world do better.
In this light I hope that 2010 will see a successful conclusion to the Doha Round of trade talks, this will depend much on the level of emphasis the developed countries put on it. In 2010 I think the major difference will be in the respective importance of the G20 and G8. The G20 will come to the fore on most Global Issues. There has been a reversal that will be all the more obvious in 2010, for the last 2 decades the consumer in the West has been buying from the manufacturer in the East, now it is the Consumers in Asian Countries that will drive forward the next stage of globalisation.
Recovery in the developed nations will now depend much more on how the consumer acts in India, China and other emerging markets. Demand for imports of high value manufactured goods from the BRIC countries can help drive forward recovery in western countries. There is evidence that Germany, France and Spain are enhancing manufacturing capacity to match the increasing demand from India and other countries, I hope the UK will follow suit.
Energy is going to be an important sector in 2010 as we move more towards clean technologies it will create new manufacturing opportunities in both the developing and developed world. Infrastructure represents a similar opportunity, the high demand in India and Africa will create opportunities for specialised companies in the western world. Africa will be the focus of a push for increased global agricultural production.
As Developing countries return to stronger growth they will help push the whole of the global economy out of recession. Consequently, how the developing world manages its economies will have a much greater impact on the western countries than ever before.
2009 was not the end of globalisation as some predicted, rather, we have seen just how linked the world economies have become. Globalisation will now be driven more by the BRIC countries, the G20 and the developing world than before, so it is in all our best interests to see the Developing world do better.
In this light I hope that 2010 will see a successful conclusion to the Doha Round of trade talks, this will depend much on the level of emphasis the developed countries put on it. In 2010 I think the major difference will be in the respective importance of the G20 and G8. The G20 will come to the fore on most Global Issues. There has been a reversal that will be all the more obvious in 2010, for the last 2 decades the consumer in the West has been buying from the manufacturer in the East, now it is the Consumers in Asian Countries that will drive forward the next stage of globalisation.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)
Posts
