The UK Election and the Economy

A recent article in the economist made some concerning comparisons between the UK's recovery from the recent financial crisis and Japans recovery from the Asian banking crisis in the 1990s. The report compared the 2 countries of level of indebtedness and found them similar; it also stated that Japan has never really recovered from its economic momentum since the crisis.

I agree with the Economist that this is an unlikely outcome for the UK; I have a lot of faith in the UK's businesses and entrepreneurs to find a way to stay profitable and keep growing. However this growth can only be assured if business and the wider economy are supported by the government. With elections fast approaching and the outcome more uncertain than in recent years there are signs of fear in the stock market and public anxiety around a hung parliament.

This is the worst time for British politicians to try to learn the art of government by coalition and compromise when the economy is still in need of strong leadership and decisive action. Whatever the form of the next British government takes it must be able to act rapidly and with conviction.

The polls are suggesting the Liberal Democrats are doing better than ever before, this must surely increase the chances of a Hung Parliament. I hope that any coalition Government can quickly form a consensus on the direction of Britain's economic recovery, and the parties' inability to agree does not prevent a return to sustained growth. I was surprised that Nick clegg still feels that Uk should join Euro. It would have been a disaster for Uk if it had joined Euro. UK is much better outside Euro so that it can control its monetary policy as Uk's Economy is very much linked to global economy. Singapore ,a much smaller country and economy, is in the same position and is able to see high growth as it controls its own currency.

What ever the outcome of the elections i hope politicians of all parties will be more honest with the public about the state of economy and the need for structural reforms to return to economic growth and to balance the economy between various sectors and particularly to increase the role of manufacturing. Hard decisions will need to taken sooner than latter particularly in balancing the reduced role of government and recovery of the economy.

3 further ideas to help the UK through the current economic storm

Purchasing the surplus housing stock of troubled home builders
The Government could consider purchasing surplus stock, particularly at fire-sale prices, from companies such as McCarthy & Stone and Crest Nicholson (both of which are restructuring and have roughly 5,000 unsold housing units) the government would be able to make an immediate impact on social housing, unclog the balance sheet of troubled homebuilders and allow construction activity to resume

The creation of a public fund for innovation
Also, establishing a Fund to support innovation in manufacturing and export oriented industries could incentivise R&D units and university based research to focus on creating goods and services for export. The UK economy will need to position itself for a changing economic landscape – one in which consumption and consumer spending will become less reliable engines of growth and external markets will become as much a destination for export as they were a source of goods and services imports

Long term tax breaks for export oriented and manufacturing sectors
Finally, the promotion of the UK (through tax credits and regulatory reform targeted to foreign entities) as a destination for cash-rich companies in China, India and a Middle East as a base for high-end manufacturing and export oriented industry.