Nigeria: a county of tremendous potential

I was honoured to be invited to address the Business Environment Roundtable on the 2011 Nigerian Economic Road Map by the Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry last month to provide an international perspective to their discussions of Nigeria's development plans.

Nigeria is a county of tremendous potential that should be leading in Africa and the world, a population of 150 million people all of whom are potential entrepreneur as anyone that knows the country will be able to testify to. The Current Administration aims to make Nigeria on the world's 20 largest countries by 2020, this is achievable. Indeed, Goldman Sachs believes that with the right reforms, Nigeria would be the world's fifteenth largest economy by 2050 and Standard Chartered the largest economy in Africa by 2013.

Nigeria is making good progress - the recent elections have solidify the image of Nigeria as a working and fair democracy, even Britain's traditionally negative press could find little to complain about. Nigeria's work in securing peace and democracy in the region, particularly its vocal defence of the principal of Democratic Succession in Cote d'Ivoire, has helped elevate the county to new levels on the international stage.

The key challenge for Nigeria to tackle if it is to meet its potential is its infrastructure deficit. The Central Bank estimates that Nigeria needs to invest $100billion (about N15 trillion) over the next 10 years to fill the deficit. In the power sector. Nigeria expends about $13 billion every year providing power from diesel generators when only about

$10 billion per year is required in investment over the next few years to develop our generation, distribution and transmission capacities. Generating power from generators adds more than 40 percent to the cost of goods and services in Nigeria.

Given the scale of the investment required the only truly viable way of meeting the need is though, public-private partnership. Government needs to work closely with business, both national and international, to ensure that the funding to tackle this deficit is met.

Nigeria is going to remain a country of tremendous opportunity for investor for foreseeable future and I would encourage, everyone to look at the opportunities there for their own businesses.

Power reform in Nigeria

Last month at the request of HE Goodluck Jonathon we organised in collaboration with the Presidential Task Force on Power, Chair by Professor Bart Narji, a Presidential Retreat for power Sector Investors. The President called the retreat to discuss with the international private sector his Roadmap to privatising Nigeria’s power sector. CBC brought 70 high level International power sector investors to the event from over 30 countries, both inside and outside the Commonwealth. In total 400 people attended the event, to hear addresses from the President, Vice President and Senior Ministers.

The Economist, who were in attendance, wrote an interesting article about the retreat that can be read here

The following week, we here honoured to host a lunch for the Vice President, Mohammed Namadi Sambo, during his visit to London. The Vice President addressed a packed room of CBC Members, High Commissioners and business leaders with an interest in Nigeria on the power privatisation plans, during which he described CBC as a ‘true friend of Nigeria’.

CBC has been fully engaged with Nigeria since its return to democracy, in fact we were the first organisation to organise an investor conference in the country. Over the last few years, however, our relationship has shifted in priorities, moving away from more generalised trade and investment promotion – that Nigeria is needing less and less as the world wakes up to the opportunities available in the country - to more niche work, such as the power retreat. This change, I think recognises Nigeria’s move towards middle income status and as one of the drivers of Africa’s economy over the coming years.

Nigeria and Elections

Last week I was in Nigeria for our yearly Nigerian Investment Forum, the event was a great success bringing investors from across the commonwealth to meet project holders in Nigeria. For the first time the event also included a business awards gala dinner to celebrate excellence in Nigeria’s private sector, the awards were hosted at State House.

While we were in Nigeria, HE Goodluck Jonathon announced his intention to run in next years presidential election. He has promised electoral reform to ensure a free and fair vote. The Nigerian Business community along with the county’s citizens all want to see elections that will allow the country move forward with its development goals. Any uncertainty over issues of governance can have a direct and measurable effect on a country’s ability to attract foreign investment, so I add my urging that the county comes together at this election and delivers a result that the rest of the world can respect.

Mr Sanusi appointed Nigerian Central Bank Governor

Last week I was in Nigeria to attend a Business Breakfast organised by Mr Pascal Dozie, one of CBC’s Board members, and was pleased to catch the Senate Confirmation Hearings of Mr Sanusi Lamido Sansui as the Governor of the Nigerian Central Bank on TV.

I was glad to see Mr Sanusi, former CEO of First Bank, a CBC Member, appointed as the Governor of the Nigerian Central Bank though a true governance process; the senate questioned him in detail on topics of great importance to the banking system and the Nigerian Economy as a whole, including Regulation and Recovery. Coincidently, Mr Sanusi is the Second Central Bank Governor of the same name to move from CEO of First Bank to the Governorship.

In General the impression I got from the Business men and women I met in Lagos was extremely upbeat; there are tremendous opportunities for investors in Nigeria, especially within the Infrastructure sectors. Government and Infrastructure Companies are actively and determinedly seeking outside investors to help develop the infrastructure base, in Lagos and other regions.